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It's hard to figure out exactly what these numbers mean, but Dem votes over the last three days eclipsed the 11 day early/absentee voting total in 2004 by 8.5%; for Republicans, the total 38.5% smaller. The Dem numbers are almost three times the GOP numbers.
Also, it looks like the counties that are expected to go most heavily for Clinton (i.e. El Paso, Corpus Christi, maybe San Antonio) increased their turnout the least; the ones expected to go heavily to Obama (Houston, Dallas, and Austin) are middling, while the tossups/lean Obama counties (basically, suburban Houston, Dallas, and Austin) have the highest increase in turnout. |
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Support Apolyton buy from Amazon
Let me put it to you like this, I voted in the Democratic primary. I doubt that I'll vote the same in the general election. Ah yes, the sample of one. IIRC, exit polls are saying that only about 10% of Republicans that voted for a Dem in the primaries are planning on voting for a Republican in the general. You can also look at earlier contests (after McCain became the presumptive nominee), where Republicans tend to be less than 10% of the total Dem primary vote... As I wrote beforehand, I don't know exactly what the numbers mean, but it does look like bad news for the GOP. |
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Originally posted by OzzyKP
Obama is far from having this thing sewn up. He has a very small lead in delegates at this point. Last I saw, Clinton was leading in Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania. If she wins those three she could retake the lead. This ain't over till its over. I can honestly say I'm happy about that. For the first time in my 31 years alive the winner wasn't determined before voting even stopped. |
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Actually, there are a lot of things I like about Obama.
That's who I voted for; I'll go ahead and say it. Come general election time, I'll have to see. I like this. The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into Red States and Blue States; Red States for Republicans, Blue States for Democrats. But I've got news for them, too. We worship an awesome God in the Blue States, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the Red States. We coach Little League in the Blue States and have gay friends in the Red States. There are patriots who opposed the war in Iraq and patriots who supported it. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the stars and stripes, all of us defending the United States of America.[42] The speech was most Americans' introduction to Obama. Its enthusiastic reception at the convention and widespread coverage by national media gave him instant celebrity status.[43] |
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