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**Bgfbukpf** · 11-18-2005, 07:51 PM

I wouldn't go so far as to call it "very good", but it contains a few facts, and the author appears to know what a bacterial secondary is, which probably puts it ahead of at least 50% of the field.

The plain fact is: nobody knows. There are pandemic scenarios, and there are "not much happening" scenarios. And no-one really has a clue which is more likely to happen when. Or what the impact will be, until we actually have an epidemic.

What we can say is that it appears that influenza still has the ability to deal us a pretty heavy blow in public health terms. There's no point in panicking about anything, flu included. But there's little sense in pretending it can't happen, either. The author's observation is a bit like sitting in a trailer home in Tornado Alley, and pointing out that the last time you saw a supercell, all that happened was a bit of a thunderstorm.

11-18-2005, 07:51 PM	#16
Bgfbukpf Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 380 Senior Member	I wouldn't go so far as to call it "very good", but it contains a few facts, and the author appears to know what a bacterial secondary is, which probably puts it ahead of at least 50% of the field. The plain fact is: nobody knows. There are pandemic scenarios, and there are "not much happening" scenarios. And no-one really has a clue which is more likely to happen when. Or what the impact will be, until we actually have an epidemic. What we can say is that it appears that influenza still has the ability to deal us a pretty heavy blow in public health terms. There's no point in panicking about anything, flu included. But there's little sense in pretending it can't happen, either. The author's observation is a bit like sitting in a trailer home in Tornado Alley, and pointing out that the last time you saw a supercell, all that happened was a bit of a thunderstorm.
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