I think Spa and Monza will settle it. If Alonso wins them both it would be hard to bet against him. If he and Ferrari fail to beat Red Bull on these fast tracks then their chances are over. Other than that it must be between the Red Bulls. Although Vettel has been faster of late I'd much rather see Webber win it; as would most no doubt. If I had to put money on it would have to be Vettel, after all its a team sport.