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RI Senate Race
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09-03-2006, 10:28 PM
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12ZHeWZa
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Oct 2005
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Good points Ramo, although I would point out that Toomey was rapidly closing the gap as the primary approached.
The latter situation might even be preferable since winning the Senate looks improbable at this point (the stars would have to allign on all of the toss-up races and they would have to win either TN or VA), and a wide motivation gap would be essential in winning the House (which is the more important chamber to win, in any case). Remember that in '94, the chief reason for the GOP landslide was that Dems didn't turn out and Republicans did. I wouldn't say it that's improbable- there are alot of signs of weakness in the economy right now and we could easily see a housing lead recession. A significant negative turn in the economy could give the Dems the push they need to get them over the top in both chambers. And after the whole "Macaca" incident, Webb has been pulling much clsoer in the polls.
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