[itepearce]

Is an independent run possible at this point?

Yes, but most unlikely. Paul is tired and no doubt discouraged. The people are not ready for his message and his leadership. There will have to be much more misery and suffering under the new anointed one before a critical mass of people will say enough is enough. It will probably be too late at that point. Frankly, I think we have already passed beyond the point of no return, economically, fiscally and politically.