DiscussWorldIssues - Socio-Economic Religion and Political Uncensored Debate - View Single Post - Meanwhile, in the parallel universe where Hillary got nominated...

**bixlewlyimila** · 10-09-2008, 06:49 PM

[QUOTE] Originally posted by Ben Kenobi
She'd be doing far better.
2. Louisiana is in play. Why's that? Bill Clinton won Louisiana largely based on the African-American vote. As Ming pointed out, its extremely unlikely Hillary would benefit from a large AA turnout, given the tenor of the primaries.

4. Missouri is in play. It's in play now. Obama was up in the latest polls.

5. Florida is in play. Obama currently is leading in Florida.

6. Ohio she would be leading. Obama currently has a small lead in Ohio.

Michigan would be solid, as are Wisconsin and Minnesota. Same with Washington. Obama is leading by double digits in all of these states now.

She would sew up Pennsylvania too. Latest polls have Obama up 10-15. That's pretty sewn up.

Obama brings Colorado, and that's it.

I That's the only state that he brings to the table that Hillary would not. Neither of them would bring Indiana, just because it's Indiana.

Virginia isn't going Obama, unfortunately. Sorry Obamaphiles. Currently, Indiana is a dead heat. That means it's in play. And so is North Carolina, which Clinton would have no hope of winning. I also think Iowa would be a toss-up rather than solidly Obama. And Obama is winning Virginia--he's averaging a 4-5 pt lead there now. Clinton wouldn't be close.

Obama has also moved ahead in Nevada, and I don't think Clinton would be doing as well there. Nor in New Mexico.

10-09-2008, 06:49 PM	#12
bixlewlyimila Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 367 Senior Member	[QUOTE] Originally posted by Ben Kenobi She'd be doing far better. 2. Louisiana is in play. Why's that? Bill Clinton won Louisiana largely based on the African-American vote. As Ming pointed out, its extremely unlikely Hillary would benefit from a large AA turnout, given the tenor of the primaries. 4. Missouri is in play. It's in play now. Obama was up in the latest polls. 5. Florida is in play. Obama currently is leading in Florida. 6. Ohio she would be leading. Obama currently has a small lead in Ohio. Michigan would be solid, as are Wisconsin and Minnesota. Same with Washington. Obama is leading by double digits in all of these states now. She would sew up Pennsylvania too. Latest polls have Obama up 10-15. That's pretty sewn up. Obama brings Colorado, and that's it. I That's the only state that he brings to the table that Hillary would not. Neither of them would bring Indiana, just because it's Indiana. Virginia isn't going Obama, unfortunately. Sorry Obamaphiles. Currently, Indiana is a dead heat. That means it's in play. And so is North Carolina, which Clinton would have no hope of winning. I also think Iowa would be a toss-up rather than solidly Obama. And Obama is winning Virginia--he's averaging a 4-5 pt lead there now. Clinton wouldn't be close. Obama has also moved ahead in Nevada, and I don't think Clinton would be doing as well there. Nor in New Mexico.
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