DiscussWorldIssues - Socio-Economic Religion and Political Uncensored Debate - View Single Post - Meanwhile, in the parallel universe where Hillary got nominated...

**drugimpotence** · 10-10-2008, 12:47 AM

Originally posted by Rufus T. Firefly
1) An ARG poll of West Virginia voters, conducted Oct. 5-8, has just been released. This is the first poll conducted since the bailout crisis/market crash; it's also the first poll taken since the candidates began debating. And in it...drumroll please...Obama is up by 8 points. Looks like WV is in play! ARG is simply the most unreliable polling outfit out there. They suck. They do not weight their samples at all, which is completely stupid. That's why their polling is the most erratic in the business, and they have perhaps the worst track record imaginable when it comes to their polling matching actual election results. Throwing darts would be just as effective.

So I don't buy those WV numbers one bit. I think Obama is going to do much better in WV than many in the primaries predicted (there's no way he loses 60-40), but I don't think he's up at all, much less by 8 points.

10-10-2008, 12:47 AM	#16
drugimpotence Join Date Oct 2005 Posts 432 Senior Member	Originally posted by Rufus T. Firefly 1) An ARG poll of West Virginia voters, conducted Oct. 5-8, has just been released. This is the first poll conducted since the bailout crisis/market crash; it's also the first poll taken since the candidates began debating. And in it...drumroll please...Obama is up by 8 points. Looks like WV is in play! ARG is simply the most unreliable polling outfit out there. They suck. They do not weight their samples at all, which is completely stupid. That's why their polling is the most erratic in the business, and they have perhaps the worst track record imaginable when it comes to their polling matching actual election results. Throwing darts would be just as effective. So I don't buy those WV numbers one bit. I think Obama is going to do much better in WV than many in the primaries predicted (there's no way he loses 60-40), but I don't think he's up at all, much less by 8 points.
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