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Originally posted by DanS
As some of you remember, 1995 and 1996 were somewhat sluggish economically. Greenspan kept speaking of a "Goldilocks economy," where the economy grew at a sustainable pace. It wouldn't surprise me if the same thing happened this year and next. Of all the stupid fads Greenspan launched "goldilocks economy" certainly stood out. |
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Originally posted by Flubber
Banks let you borrow against the new equity after an appraisal so its all good Speaking of banks Housing slowdown may hit bank profits |
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Originally posted by TCO
If you are a house buyer , especially a family looking for increased space, then a hard, hard landing is in your interests. Assuming of course that you don't lose your job in the process. High housing prices are financing borrowing in the US, a hard crash will lead to bankrupcies and a general decrease in consumer spending. This will result in an economic downturn. The severity of the housing market decline will determine if this is a minor dip or a recession. |
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Originally posted by Flubber
Thats the way I feel. My house is up HUGE is the 4 years since we built it and if I sold I could probably pocket about 350K. But whats the point? Unless I change cities I would just end up buying back into the same market -- - Banks let you borrow against the new equity after an appraisal so its all good That brings up an interesting point that I've been wrestling with personally. If you mark your home to market, an increase in price while interest rates are stable or rising only adds to your carrying cost for the space. |
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Originally posted by DanS
I don't think you can say that. There are a lot of factors in our economy besides house prices. You must certainly can say that. Even that Greenspan of yours acknowledges that home equity extraction has been underpinning consumptions growth to the tune of hundreds of billions a year and that this represented substantial risk to the economy were the house market to crash. |
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Originally posted by Colon™
You must certainly can say that. Even that Greenspan of yours acknowledges that home equity extraction has been underpinning consumptions growth to the tune of hundreds of billions a year and that this represented substantial risk to the economy were the house market to crash. [DanS]Nothing can happen as long as profits keep increasing[/DanS] |
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Originally posted by Victor Galis
Assuming of course that you don't lose your job in the process. High housing prices are financing borrowing in the US, a hard crash will lead to bankrupcies and a general decrease in consumer spending. This will result in an economic downturn. The severity of the housing market decline will determine if this is a minor dip or a recession. of course. |
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A lot of people in the US take out loans using their house as collateral to finance purchases. This is similar to using a credit card, except since the loans are secured by something (the house) they are much lower interest.
Once housing prices fall, people will be unable to take out further home-equity loans because their debts will be greater than the new value of the house. If housing prices fall hard, then it might even be better for them to let the bank foreclose on the house since it's now worth less than if they paid back the loan. |
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I've heard that the average American family's savings rate is -.2%.
It's not so much that the whole system falls apart, but rather that a decrease in consumption causes companies to lay off workers who then also stop consuming, and so on. I honestly don't know, because the idea of borrowing to consume more is alien to me. |
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