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USA vs Iran due to Petrodollar
In 1973, Richard Nixon promised King Faisal of Saudi Arabia that the US would protect Saudi Arabian oilfields from any and all interested parties seeking to forcefully wrest them from the House of Saud. It’s important to remember that in 1973, Saudi Arabia didn’t have a fraction of the military and ground forces it possesses today (almost exclusively US manufactured weapons) and the USSR was very much a threat. In return Saudi Arabia, and by extension OPEC, agreed to sell their oil in US dollars only. As if that weren’t sweet enough, as part of the deal, they were required to invest their profits in US treasuries, bonds and bills. The real zinger is that all countries purchasing oil from OPEC had to do so in US dollars, or ‘petrodollars’. This strengthened the US dollar, resulting in a steady US economic growth cycle throughout the 80’s and 90’s. Countries purchasing OPEC oil started buying US treasury bills, bonds and securities to ensure they could continue purchasing OPEC oil. This worked fine for the US until 2001. No plan, however well formulated, functions smoothly indefinitely. The answer of course is that Iran is now seeking to disengage itself from the petrodollar dynamic. In 2005, Iran sought to create an Iranian Oil Exchange, thus bypassing the US controlled petrodollar. Fear that western powers would freeze accounts in European and London banks put an end to that plan. But that was not the end of their attempts, and Iran sought other ways to get around the petrodollar noose. There are rumors that India, which imports 12% of their oil from Iran, has agreed to purchase oil for gold. Energy trade with China, importing 15% of its oil and natural gas from Iran may be settled in gold, yuan, and rial. South Korea plans to buy 10% of their oil from Iran in 2012, and unless Seoul sides with American and European sanctions, it is likely to use gold or their sovereign currency to pay for it. Also, Iran is already dumping the dollar in its trade with Russia in favor of rials and rubles. Iran is breaking the back of the petrodollar. Others have tried, but Iran is succeeding. To understand how disastrous this is for the US, one must have a basic understanding of how critical a role the petrodollar plays in the economic health of the US. Through King Faisal, Nixon elevated the US to supreme economic ascendency, not unlike Damocles in his desire to rule. Sitting on the (economic) throne of the world is great, but Nixon was either unaware of the sword dangling over the US economic system, or chose to ignore it in favor of reaping the rewards of the moment. By creating the petrodollar paradigm, the US economy soared, as all countries of the world were required to amass US currency to purchase oil from OPEC nations. Sales of T-bills, securities and US bonds soared. US coffers fattened. With the US dollar as the world’s oil currency reserve, economic fortune favored the US. But with great reward comes great risk. While other countries exchanged their currency for the dollar, (forfeiting value in the process) the US simply printed more money to match their needs and purchase their oil – essentially for free. The best example is that while gasoline in the US cost $3.00 per gallon, in Europe that same gallon costs $6.00 or more. Herein lies the danger. If Iran is successful in its bid to set up their own bourse, or oil exchange, then what need does the world have for all those US dollars? The answer is none at all. As Iran creating gold and sovereign currency partnerships with India, China, South Korea and Russia, the hegemony of the petrodollar will be destroyed. The resulting sell-off of US dollars, T-bills, securities, bonds and assets will flood the already swollen world economy with even more useless dollars, ultimately devaluing it into a position where hyper-inflation becomes a risk. So, while the US government sabre-rattles and prattles on and on about nuclear weapons and the threat Iran poses to the Middle East, the thin veneer of lies spouted by the elite controlled media is being stripped away, revealing the truth of their warmongering rhetoric. The US, by their foolish insistence on enforcing embargoes and sanctions against Iran, is hastening the end of the petrodollar and ushering in the age of US dollar hyper-inflation. A practical example: One loaf of bread in a healthy economy is $1.00. In an inflationary economy it’s $1.75. In a hyper-inflationary economy, $500.00. Bullies may be large and dangerous, but rarely are they intelligent. Damocles wisely vacated the throne of Dionysius before the sword fell upon his head, but the US is foolishly refusing to step down from their economic dais in spite of the catastrophic effect current policy direction will mean for US citizens and the world economy. |
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#2 |
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USA vs Iran due to Petrodollar Because of the agreement, the US provides security for Arabs in the Gulf - and the Arabs demand only US dollars in return for their oil. The effect of this??? - every other nation that needs to buy oil from the Arabs is forced into trading with the USA to earn those dollars (which are essentially backed by little in terms of real gold and other assets). For all the goods and services other nations provide it, the US simply prints money into existance to pay for it - at no cost to themselves - except for the printing press that keeps churning them out. This system is now under threat as the Gulf Arabs best oilfields have been past their peak production (Al Ghawar, Safaniya, Saudi Arabia and Al Burgan, Kuwait, Zakum UAE), they are pumping more water each and every year into their fields to mainatin high levels of oil production (but this is proving costlier each and every year as it simply drains the fields even quicker than normal, meaning ever greater amounts of water have to be pumped into the ground to force the remaining oil out). There are few other places that can match these vast resources in the Arab gulf nations. But two or three do stand out - Iraq, Iran and Caspian region. Due to war and sanctions etc, Iraq/Iran never fully produced their oilfields and much of the potential for new accumulations remains untouched. Just how vast a resource are we talking in Iraq/Iran - potentially worth as much as $30-40 Trillion of oil/gas which would deliver a much larger figure in terms of final products and value in the global economy. I believe the figure could in fact be much higher (based on recent huge discoveries in the Post-Saddam era). Essentially, the last decade, uder the guise of the 'war-on-terror' the US and its allies have moved into the area - to ensure that the largest remaining resource centres on the globe demand USD$ for their commodities trading, and they are making sure of this at the point of a gun barrel. The biggest embassy in the world was set-up in Iraq for this purpose and it is entirely possible that, the US would even encourage the north and south of Iraq to breakaway as free and independent nations owing to their vast oil resources. They could then reap the benefits and exclude the Sunni's in the centre and west of Iraq from anything. That would be straight out of the Colonialist playbook. It seems nearly all the major remaining, undeveloped OR under-developed oilfields in the mideast region are in Iraq, Iran and Kurdish areas. Please study this map from a Canadian explorer in northern Iraq - it shows just how huge the potential of the wider 'Persian' area is for oil/gas: http://www.shamaranpetroleum.com/i/p...ember-2011.pdf Page 5 of that presentation is amazing - shows all the 'prospects' for oil/gas that are yet to be explored - notice how they are right next to known oil/gas accumulations? May Allah protect Muslims from the enemies of Islam. Allahu A'lam |
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